Saturday, September 18, 2010

Response to Chicago Tribune global warming article

Chicago AM Saturday 18 September 2010

Voice of the People, Chicago Tribune


The Chicago Tribune article “Climate change is here” of Wednesday September 15, is well written and appears to present a number of reasons how so-called 'climate change' is affecting the Chicago area.

It states that “Scientists around the world have used CO2 counts to create various models showing how the climate may warm in coming years” and that “they project that if CO2 emissions continue to rise, the Chicago area's summer weather will be comparable to that of southern Illinois by 2029....”

Climate change is a ripe field for the use of mathematical models: things are always changing, and there appears to be considerable data to use as model input.

But the centerpiece of all this modeling is our planet, Earth, which 4.5 billion years old. Now that's a lot of years, but the data we have on it is pitifully small when you consider that man's earliest ancestors did not appear on Earth until 6 million years ago, less than 1% of 4.5 billion years.

Can we learn anything from a model projecting the earth's age onto that of an 80-year-old human being? Such a model shows one Earth year as being 0.562 seconds of that geezer's 80-year life span, which means humans first appearing in our model earth 39 days ago.

Earliest known use of charcoal (carbon) by humans, for the reduction of copper, zinc and tin ores, was 54 minutes ago to our 80-year-old. Discovery of carbon dioxide in 1630, 3 minutes 30 seconds ago to our geezer. Humans had no idea of measuring temperature before Galileo's invention of the thermometer in 1593, 4 minutes ago to our geezer.

People worry that our “spring flowers have been blooming a little earlier than they used to...” and we have no idea what happened in the first 99% of the planet's lifetime?

The article refers to 'scientists' five times. Is the basic 'union card' of a scientist an advanced degree? If so, what advanced degree does the leader of 50,000 climate scientists have, the guy with the Oscar, and the Nobel? Well, he doesn't have one. He has an undergraduate degree from Harvard, that included 2 courses that could be considered scientific, one called 'Man's place in Nature'. He got a 'D'. Hoax, anyone?

Arnold H Nelson

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