The Chicago Tribune has an interesting and well written story “Explaining the science of this spring's tornadoes” on Wednesday 25 May. It answers the question “Are the stronger storms a result of global warming?” with the definitive statement “It is impossible to link specific storms … to climate change” but then quickly gets over its head quoting “predictions of ... climate change models” that “we'll be in for more intense storms as average global temperatures climb,” concluding “that is what appears to be happening.”
Climate change is a ripe field for the use of mathematical models: things are always changing, and there appears to be considerable data to use as model input.
But as considerable as the data appears, its inconsequence can easily be demonstrated by using another model: projecting the planet's age onto that of an 80-year-old human being. Such a model shows one Earth year as being 0.562 seconds of that geezer's 80-year life span. This means that since humans first appeared on earth 6.5 million years ago, it was only 39 days ago in our 80-year-old human lifespan model.
More startling examples: earliest known use of charcoal (carbon) by humans, for the reduction of copper, zinc and tin ores in 4459 BC, was 54 minutes ago to our 80-year-old. Humans had no idea of measuring temperature before Galileo's invention of the thermometer in 1593, 4 minutes ago to our geezer. Discovery of carbon dioxide in 1630, 3 minutes 30 seconds ago to our geezer.
If a doctor takes a geezer's blood pressure at 119/79, then again five minutes later and gets 121/80, you can make a model that shows the geezer will have a fatal stroke tomorrow afternoon when his BP reaches 400/200.
In The Wall Street Journal article “A 62% Top Tax Rate?” of Thursday 26 May
the Journal's own Stephen Moore clearly describes the country's present taxing/spending turmoil .
Mr Moore writes of the “employer share of all payroll taxes” that while “employers are responsible for collecting this tax, it is ultimately borne by the employee.”
The employee gets a printed statement from the employer saying “you earned and your employer
paid” but that's the closest he ever gets to actually writing a check to the feds to pay it. Since The 1943 Current Tax payment act the employers have been doing all the check writing. If the checks don't
reach the feds, the employer goes to jail, never the wage-earner.
The employer does have an out not available to the wage earner: since all employers must send in this money, there is no competitive reason to do anything other than pass on the cost to customers in higher product prices. Thus 90% of personal income taxes end up as an invisible national sales tax.
To see the significance of this you need only look at the 2011 Statistical Abstract of the United States
table 478 showing 37% of the total 2009 federal income of $2.345 trillion coming from employer bank accounts, not wage earner's.
Mr. Moore further accuses Social Security of beng “designed to operate as an insurance system, with
each individual's payment tied to the benefits paid out....” The Supreme Court has never been asked
to judge the program's constitutionality, but the 1961 Fleming vs Nestor decision determining the eligibility of a single participant needed only 85 words to clearly describe what it isn't: “The
noncontractual interest of an employee covered by the [Social Security] Act cannot be soundly
analogized to that of the holder of an annuity, whose right to benefits are based on his contractual
premium payments. To engraft upon the Social Security System a concept of 'accrued property
rights' would deprive it of the flexibility and boldness in adjustment to ever-changing conditions
which it demands and which Congress probably had in mind when it expressly reserved the right to
alter, amend or repeal any provision of the Act."
Mr. Moore closes by derisively referring to the Democrats insatiable desire to keep raising taxes on the “rich”. Can someone ask the Democrats what they plan to do when they inevitably reach the point
where no one is rich anymore? Two examples of this are the former Soviet Union and the current
The Wall Street Journal OpEd “The Medicare Test for President” of Friday 20 May does a fine job of explaining the dire financial straights of our federal government, and why the by far best solution has
been presented by US Representatives Paul Ryan of Wisconsin.
Sometimes when in a bad situation, a worth while exercise at solving things is looking upstream
to see why and how we got here.
So what were the 90% of voters who were wage earners back in 1966 thinking when they made out and remitted those monthly checks to cover their income tax obligations when the Democrats proposed taking over the national health care industry wth Medicare?
Of course, that's a trick question, since with the minor exception of a possible April settling-up (and the feds were doing all they could at reducing) no voter/wage-earner was writing any checks to the feds to cover income tax. The 1943 Current Tax payment act broke that link, such that employers were doing all the check writing. If the checks did not reach the feds, the employer went to jail, never the wage-earner.
The employers did have an out: since all employers were forced to send in this money, there was no competitive reason to do anything other than pass the cost on to customers in higher product prices. Thus 90% of personal income taxes were converted to an all but invisible national sales tax.
To see how significant this is needs only a look at the 2011 Statistical Abstract of the United States table 478 showing 37% of the total 2009 [latest data available] federal income of $2.345 trillion coming from employer bank accounts, not voter's. (And since no wage earner has ever sent in one cent to the Social Security system, adding that program's employer withheld taxes brings that total to 73% of 2009 federal income.)
If this isn't bad enough, we have millions of 65+ senior citizens with fistfuls of pay stubs saying: “You earned, and your employer paid....” But is there a single one of them who actually remembers one week when their take home pay was slightly reduced to go for income taxes? Not if they've taken another job in the meantime. Wage earners get a pay stub with a big number at the top, and a smaller number below. That is the amount that goes in their personal bank account, and the only figure that counts.
Fixing this scam needs only a majority of the House of reps, 60 Senators, and a President with backbone enough to change the US Tax code from "every employer making payment of wages shall deduct and withhold upon such wages a tax..." to "every employer making payment of wages shall pay all of those wages to the employee...." The employer would still calculate the tax, including a note: "Here is how much the feds are expecting you personally to send in within 30 days"
This could not be done overnite, but randomly choosing a single letter every quarter, and requiring all voters with names beginning with that letter to submit to the new pay as you go tax system, would get the whole thing done in 9 years. This period would include two Presidential elections, 4 house
elections, and a complete rebuild of the Senate.
A problem is what to do with those seniors already depending on Medicare benefits. This problem
will solve itself: keep paying them - the expense will go down 2.5% every year until in 40 years
the there will be no one left to take it.
What must be done immediately is eliminating the myth of the “benefits” of federal health care.
Requiring voters to send in a check for 20% of their take home pay every month should convince
I've lived in Detroit, St Louis, Kansas City, Pittsburgh PA, Marblehead MA. Worked as tech rep in Southern CA, Bay area, NYC, I've been to Europe a dozen times (Ireland, UK, Scotland, Sweden, Finland, Belgium.
Favorite restaurants are Gene & Georgetti's in Chicago, Roma Cafe in Detroit, Frankie and Johnie's in NYC, Rigazzi's on the hill in St. Louis (Also Charlie Gitto's, was Angelo's when I went there.)
For about a year I had small offices in Clayton MO, in the Country Club Plaza in KC. I rode a ten-speed bike around Lake Michigan (The bottom half in one week in June 1978, another week for the top half in 1980, used the Badger both times.
Don't get to travel much anymore, but still try to rent a car and go around the Lake in March every year. Sure, there's still snow, and it's not warm, OTOH there are no bugs and no toursts. Greatest little tavern in the world is Sherry's Port Bar in Garden UP MI