Rolling Stone's article “Global Warming's Terrifying New Math” [Thursday 19 July 2012] invites comment.
A key support of the author's position is reference to use of “sophisticated computer-simulation models that have been built by climate scientists around the world over the past few decades.” The entire global warming justification is
based on mathematical models: Take a series of documented climate conditions from the past, put them in a computer, and viola! Disaster is inevitable! What is never admitted is the pathetically small set of past data there is to work with.
This can be demonsrated by a model projecting the planet's 4.5 billion year age on an 80-year human lifetime. Such a model shows one year of earth time equivalent to 0.562 seconds of an 80-year human life span. This means humans first appeared in our model earth 39 days ago. They had no idea of measuring temperature before Galileo's 1593 thermometer invention, 4 minutes ago to our senior citizen., Discovery of carbon dioxide in 1630? 3 minutes 30 seconds ago.
The article itself has examples: “Until a quarter-century ago, almost no one knew that CO2 was dangerous.” Quarter centuryL fourteen seconds in the geezer model. The article closes with another good example of this model's surprises, referring to “the Holocene, the 11,000-year period of climatic stability we're now leaving...” 11,000 years is 1 hour 43 minutes in our 80-year model.
The article also makes at least two references to Arctic sea ice (“staggering melt of Arctic ice” and "A third of summer sea ice in the Arctic is gone.” You might want to be careful with this one: On Sunday 19 August 2000 a very prominent United States Newspaper (a favorite of the author?) printed:
"The thick ice that has for ages covered the Arctic Ocean at the pole has turned to water, recent visitors there reported yesterday. At least for the time being, an ice-free patch of ocean about a mile wide has opened at the very top of the world, something that has presumably never before been seen by humans and is more evidence that global warming may be real and already affecting climate."
Ten days later they printed this correction:
"A front-page article in the Aug 19, 2000 edition... about the sighting of open water at the North Pole misstated the normal conditions of the sea ice there. The reports also referred incompletely to the link between the open water and global warming." You can look it up.
The article quotes a spokesman for small island nations warning that "many would not survive” Global warming. One such Island nation is the Maldive islands: population 400 thousand, highest point above water level 7 feet. We have islands like that in Lake Michigan, uninhabited, because of occasional 7+ foot waves.
The word 'scientist' appears at least 16 times in the article. What makes a scientist? What are his/her basic credentials/union card? An advanced degree! And who is
the Godfather of all scientists? The one who wrote the book, got an oscar for the movie, got the Noble Prize for Global Warming? Albert Gore Jr! And what advanced degree does he have? Not a one! A Bachelor's from Harvard, certainly, but with only two science courses – one called: “Man's place in Nature” (he got a 'D' grade.)
I've lived in Detroit, St Louis, Kansas City, Pittsburgh PA, Marblehead MA. Worked as tech rep in Southern CA, Bay area, NYC, I've been to Europe a dozen times (Ireland, UK, Scotland, Sweden, Finland, Belgium.
Favorite restaurants are Gene & Georgetti's in Chicago, Roma Cafe in Detroit, Frankie and Johnie's in NYC, Rigazzi's on the hill in St. Louis (Also Charlie Gitto's, was Angelo's when I went there.)
For about a year I had small offices in Clayton MO, in the Country Club Plaza in KC. I rode a ten-speed bike around Lake Michigan (The bottom half in one week in June 1978, another week for the top half in 1980, used the Badger both times.
Don't get to travel much anymore, but still try to rent a car and go around the Lake in March every year. Sure, there's still snow, and it's not warm, OTOH there are no bugs and no toursts. Greatest little tavern in the world is Sherry's Port Bar in Garden UP MI